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    Home » Bitcoin Price Analysis: Fibonacci Levels Indicate Possible Rebound if $85K is Maintained
    Price Analysis

    Bitcoin Price Analysis: Fibonacci Levels Indicate Possible Rebound if $85K is Maintained

    By adminMar. 23, 2025No Comments5 Mins Read
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    Bitcoin Price Analysis: Fibonacci Levels Indicate Possible Rebound if $85K is Maintained
    Bitcoin Price Analysis: Fibonacci Levels Indicate Possible Rebound if $85K is Maintained
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    Bitcoin Price Overview

    Bitcoin’s price stands at $84,968 to $85,168 over the last hour, with a market capitalization of $1.68 trillion and 24-hour global trade volume totaling $10.64 billion. The cryptocurrency has traded within a $1,551 intraday range between $83,682 and $85,233 and remains 21.7% below its all-time high posted on Jan. 20, 2025.

    Bitcoin Analysis

    On the daily chart, bitcoin is emerging from a descending trajectory that began near the $99,508 mark, bottoming around $76,680 before transitioning into a lateral consolidation phase with slight upward momentum. Candlestick structures exhibit reduced body size, reflecting market indecision or early accumulation behavior. Price currently hovers just above key support near $83,000, with stronger foundational support seen at $76,700. Resistance is identified between $88,000 and $89,000, and if a bullish daily candle closes above $86,000 with corresponding volume, a swing entry targeting $89,000 or more may materialize. Traders should remain alert for signs of rejection near the upper resistance area to manage exit timing.

    BTC/USD 1D Chart

    BTC/USD 1D chart via Bitstamp on March 23, 2025.

    Four-Hour Chart Perspective

    From a four-hour chart perspective, bitcoin has shown a gradual recovery from the $81,138 level up to $87,470 before entering a corrective phase. Despite the pullback, the asset has formed higher lows, indicative of ongoing bullish pressure. Resistance remains firmly planted at $87,470, while support has developed around $83,500. A breakout above this resistance with sustained volume could open the door for a short-term climb toward $88,500 or higher. Conversely, failure to clear resistance amid rising selling pressure would increase the likelihood of a retracement to the $83,500 region.

    BTC/USD 4H Chart

    BTC/USD 4H chart via Bitstamp on March 23, 2025.

    One-Hour Chart Action

    Short-term price action on the one-hour chart suggests bitcoin is forming a clean upward channel, with momentum supported by increasing buy-side volume. The price has lifted from $83,682 to a session high of $85,233, and maintaining a position above $85,000 is key to sustaining bullish sentiment. An intraday retest and reclaim of $85,233 would likely trigger momentum toward $86,000 to $86,500 in the short term. A breakdown below $84,000 on increasing sell volume would undermine bullish setups and trigger stop-losses among aggressive long positions.

    BTC/USD 1H Chart

    BTC/USD 1H chart via Bitstamp on March 23, 2025.

    Oscillator Signals

    Oscillator signals paint a mixed technical picture across the board. The relative strength index (RSI) stands at 48, stochastic at 71, and the commodity channel index (CCI) at 13, all reflecting neutral momentum. The average directional index (ADX) at 32 suggests a trend is present but lacks strong conviction. The awesome oscillator is currently at −2,622 and also neutral. However, both the momentum indicator at 4,154 and the moving average convergence divergence (MACD) level at −1,680 are flashing bullish signals, supporting a modestly bullish bias.

    Moving Averages

    Moving averages (MAs) are currently sending divergent signals depending on the timeframe. The exponential moving average (EMA) and simple moving average (SMA) for 10 and 20 periods all suggest positive factors, ranging between $84,178 and $85,228. Mid-range signals, including the 30-period EMA and SMA, turn bearish, with values near $86,060 to $86,671. Longer-term moving averages — including 50, 100, and 200-period indicators — skew bearish, except for the 200-period simple moving average (SMA), which stands at $84,893 and still supports the price. This layered outlook indicates that while immediate momentum is upward, the broader market structure is still unwinding from prior highs.

    Fibonacci Retracement Levels

    Fibonacci retracement levels from the recent swing high to local lows across the one-hour, four-hour, and daily timeframes reinforce this technical complexity. Price reactions are likely around the 38.2%, 50%, and 61.8% retracement levels, offering opportunities for tactical entries during pullbacks. Stop-losses should be placed beneath the 78.6% or 100% retracement thresholds to manage downside risk. For traders eyeing profit-taking strategies, reversals are likely near the 0% and 23.6% zones, aligned with near-term resistance bands observed on all timeframes.

    Bull Verdict

    If bitcoin maintains support above $85,000 and secures a decisive hourly or four-hour close above $85,233—particularly with volume acceleration—a retest of $86,500 to $88,500 becomes highly probable. The presence of bullish signals on the momentum indicator and moving average convergence divergence (MACD), coupled with bullish structure on shorter timeframes and strengthening exponential moving averages (EMAs), supports a continuation toward the upper resistance at $89,000. The bullish case strengthens if the daily chart confirms a close above $86,000.

    Bear Verdict

    Should bitcoin fail to hold the $84,000 support level, especially under rising sell volume, the upward momentum would be invalidated and the price could revert to testing lower support zones around $83,000 and potentially $81,138. The majority of long-term exponential and simple moving averages (including the 50, 100, and 200-period levels) are still aligned in sell territory, indicating that macro bearish pressure persists. Neutral oscillators further emphasize that bitcoin remains vulnerable to downside risk if volume fails to accompany any breakout attempts.

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